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Macroeconomic forecast for 2020-2022

Rivised key forecast indicators of economic and social development of Ukraine for 2020

(March 2020)

 Indicator 2020 (forecast)
Nominal GDP UAH 3 985.5 bn
Change of GDP, y-o-y  -4.8%
CPI change, y-o-y  11.6%

Source: The Resolution of the CMU № 253 dated March 29, 2020

Key forecast indicators of economic and social development of Ukraine for 2020-2022

(October 2019)

Scenario І

 Indicator 2020  2021  2022    
Real GDP growth projection, y-o-y 3.7% 3.8% 4.1%
CPI change, y-o-y  5.5% 5.3%  5.1%
USD/UAH annual avg FX rate UAH 27.0 UAH 27.2 UAH 27.5

 

Scenario ІІ

Indicator 2020       2021    2022      
Real GDP growth projection, y-o-y  4.8% 5.5% 6.5%
CPI change, y-o-y 5.8% 5.0%  5.0%
USD/UAH annual avg FX rate UAH 24.8 UAH 23.9 UAH 24.2

Source: The Ministry of Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine